A New Housing Bubble Forming Not Before 2024

Dated: 03/09/2018

Views: 8

A New Housing Bubble Forming…Not Before 2024!

A New Housing Bubble Forming…Not Before 2024! | MyKCM

A recent report by CoreLogic revealed that U.S. home values appreciated by more than 37% over the last five years. Some are concerned that this is evidence we may be on the verge of another housing “boom & bust” like the one we experienced from 2006-2008.

Recently, several housing experts weighed in on the subject to alleviate these fears.

Sean Becketti, Freddie Mac Chief Economist

 “The evidence indicates there currently is no house price bubble in the U.S., despite the rapid increase of house prices over the last five years.”

Edward Golding, a Senior Fellow at the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Center

 “There is not likely to be a national bubble in the way that we saw the first decade of the century.”

Christopher Thornberg, Partner atBeacon Economics

 “There is no direct or indirect sign of any kind of bubble.”

Bill McBride, Calculated Risk

 “I wouldn’t call house prices a bubble.”

David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices

 “Housing is not repeating the bubble period of 2000-2006.”

A recent article by Teo Nicolais, a real estate entrepreneur who teaches courses on real estate principles, markets, and finance at Harvard Extension School concluded that the next housing bubble may not occur until 2024.

The article, How to Use Real Estate Trends to Predict the Next Housing Bubble, looks at previous peaks in real estate values going all the way back to 1818. Nicolais uses the research of several economists. The article details the four phases of a real estate cycle and what defines each phase.

Nicolais concluded his article by saying:

“Those who study the financial crisis of 2008 will (we hope) always be weary of the next major crash. If George, Harrison, and Foldvary are right, however, that won’t happen until after the next peak around 2024. 

Between now and then, aside from the occasional slow down and inevitable market hiccups, the real estate industry is likely to enjoy a long period of expansion.”

Bottom Line

The reason for the price appreciation we are seeing is an imbalance between supply and demand for housing. This has created a natural increase in values, not a bubble in prices.

Blog author image

Ed Sullivan

Ed believes "Every Family Should Feel Confident Selling and Buying a Home" and he has made this his personal mission in service to others. Earning your trust is how Ed prioritizes everyday for you an....

Latest Blog Posts

Home Buying Myths Slayed

Home Buying Myths Slayed [INFOGRAPHIC]Some Highlights: The average down payment for first-time homebuyers is only 6%! Despite mortgage interest rates being over 4%, rates are still below

Read More

Is Family Mortgage Debt Out Of Control

Is Family Mortgage Debt Out of Control?Some homeowners have recently done a “cash out” refinance and have taken a portion of their increased equity from their house. Others have sold their homes

Read More

How Much Do You Need To Make To Buy A Home In Your State

How Much Do You Need to Make to Buy a Home in Your State?It’s no mystery that cost of living varies drastically depending on where you live, so a new study by GOBankingRates 

Read More

Rising Prices Help You Build Your Family Wealth

Rising Prices Help You Build Your Family’s WealthOver the next five years, home prices are expected to appreciate, on average, by 3.6% per year and to grow by 18.2% cumulatively, according to

Read More